China fears only one country – Russia! It forms a long border up north of China and has defeated it once in Ussuri river battle. By a golden luck, West, including US & Europe are keeping Russia away from them over Ukraine. Russia fully knows Ukraine has always been a part of it and is hence not giving up. To sum up its defences, Russia has tied up with China.
What is the West losing in the process?
Soviet Union broke up when China sided with the West to break Soviet Union. Now is the time for Russia to side with West to break China.
Russia is not a natural partner of China. Rather, it knows China claims whole of Siberia and Chinese population is huge in eastern Russia. Russia is a civilizational partner of Europe.
But to meet their imperial aims, the West is fighting with Russia over Ukraine. The West’s strategy of breaking Ukraine from Russia has been going on since hundreds of years.
In this whole piece, the losers are Japan, ASEAN, India and other Asian nations bordering China. China, knowing Russia is on its side, is flexing its muscles and punching its neighbours.
India can have a role to play in bringing Russia closer to the West but it is easier said than done. For India to try it, the diplomatic levers have to be very well polished because it can risk losing its independent relationships with the US, Europe and Russia.
The Quad – Japan, US, Australia and India, become a real threat to China, if Russia is on its side.
Never without it.